EU Morning Report - Euro falls on eurozone debt contagion fears

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Written by Easy-Forex   
Wednesday, 16 November 2011 05:38 GMT
  • The euro continues to plummet today on fears the eurozone debt crisis will spread to the triple A-rated France after the government’s bond yields came under pressure. Spanish 10-year government bond yields remained elevated while Italy’s 10-year bond yields jumped above the 7% for the second time in a week, a level considered to be unsustainable. Risk aversion in the market is heightened and Asian equities tumbled as credit contagion spread further across the eurozone. Eurozone Gross Domestic Product revealed a modest 0.2% expansion in the third quarter of this year, the same pace as in the second quarter. Versus the greenback, the single currency slipped to a fresh one-month low at 1.3428 from 1.3640, a decline of 1.6%. Focus turns to the eurozone Consumer Price Index data where a stronger than expected figure may dim expectations for a further interest rate cut by the European Central Bank.
  • The US dollar was stronger against a basket of currencies yesterday as high risk aversion spurred a higher demand for the safe haven currency. US Retail Sales data showed a 0.5% gain in October while 0.3% was expected further supporting the dollar. Attention shifts to the US inflation data and Industrial Production.
  • The British pound fell against the dollar to a one month low at 1.5755 from 1.5931 on a heightened risk aversion in the market. Focus turns to the Labor Market data and November Inflation report where a dovish tone may signal additional quantitative easing.
  • Oil prices edged higher hitting 99.80 dollars a barrel from 97.50. Gold rose yesterday to 1786.00 dollars an ounce from 1760.07 but today it dropped to 1762.71. Silver rose to 34.79 dollars an ounce from 33.73.
Pivot Preference1 Sentiment2
EURUSD 1.3555 SHORT @ 1.3555 63% of deals buy EUR
USDJPY 77.45 SHORT @ 77.45 82% of deals buy USD
GBPUSD 1.5845 SHORT @ 1.5845 66% of deals buy GBP
AUDUSD 1.0160 SHORT @ 1.0160 66% of deals buy AUD
GOLD 1760.00 LONG @ 1760.00 68% of deals buy GOLD
OIL 97.95 LONG @ 33.70 18% of deals buy OIL
1 data generated by Trading Central, 2 data obtained from easy-forex Inside Viewer
Currency Time (GMT) Event Forecast
GBP 09:30 Unemployment Rate in September 8.2%
EUR 10:00 Consumer Price Index in October 0.3%
USD 13:30 Consumer Price Index in October 3.6%
EUROPE US ASIA3
FTSE 100 -0.03% down S&P 500 0.48% NIKKEI -0.92% down
DAX -0.87% down DJIA 0.14% HIS -2.69% down
CAC -1.92% down NASDAQ 1.09% CSI 300 -2.90% down
3 at the time of writing